The Dem Iowa Caucuses – A Correction for the Mess Media

ON the toob and the radio and in the press I keep hearing that Hillary Clin-toon “won” the Democrat primary/caucuses in Iowa.

No. She did not.

When an election is held, the winner is the candidate who receives the most votes… or at least more votes than their opponent. Hillary did not do that. She was “declared” the “winner” by virtue of flipping coins – 6 (+/-) times.

Were the coins that were flipped over 18 years of age? (ie were they old enough to vote?) Were those coins registered to vote? I’m doubting it.

So how can anyone say that Hillary “won” an election. Seems to me she won 6 (+/-) coin tosses, not an election. And were the coins used examined by both candidates and their staffs to determine if they were “fair and honest” coins? Or were they weighted to come up repeatedly with one side or the other up?

And what were the odds that six separate precincts (+/-) would have tie votes, necessitating a tie-breaking procedure? I’m betting they were less than 6. Tie votes happen but rarely – and the more “voters” (caucus goers) who show up at the caucus for their precinct, the lower the odds that there will be a tie.

Looking at articles on the internet, I see more than one that reports what appears to be “funny business.” This is actually fairly common for Iowa Democrats.

So who “won” the Iowa election? To answer that question we have to look at the idea that has circulated for a while that the winner of the Iowa Caucuses has yet to win the Presidency. IF that is true, then it introduces a whole new perspective on the “win or lose” issue because if true, then to “win” in Iowa is to “lose” the general election! So perhaps Hillary should have had her minions cheat in order to LOSE the Iowa caucuses?

Well… stand by folks and watch as we are reminded once again that cheaters cheat, and politicians lie. As to whether the “winner” “won” or “lost” in the final analysis, time will tell.

Global Warming? How About A Little Ice With That?

I was looking at my daily “favorite” web pages this morning and found this little gem on the http://www.spaceweather.com/ page.

INTENSIFYING COSMIC RAYS

That sounded interesting, so I read the article. The article included these two paragraphs:

“Cosmic rays, which are accelerated toward Earth by distant supernova explosions and other violent events, are an important form of space weather. They can seed clouds, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. Indeed, our measurements show that someone flying back and forth across the continental USA, just once, can absorb as much ionizing cosmic radiation as 2 to 5 dental X-rays. Likewise, cosmic rays can affect mountain climbers, high-altitude drones, and astronauts onboard the International Space Station.

This type of radiation is modulated by solar activity. Solar storms and CMEs tend to sweep aside cosmic rays, making it more difficult for cosmic rays to reach Earth. On the other hand, low solar activity allows an extra dose of cosmic rays to reach our planet. Indeed, the ongoing increase in cosmic ray intensity is probably due to a decline in the solar cycle. Solar Maximum has passed and we are heading toward a new Solar Minimum. Forecasters expect solar activity to drop sharply in the years ahead, and cosmic rays are poised to increase accordingly. Stay tuned for more radiation.”

So I’m thinking… “That might explain the nearly 19 years (+/-) of moderating (read static) global temps.” Now, solar cycles generally last about 11 years, but this last one was kind of a dud. If you look at a chart of solar cycles over the last couple of hundred years (or longer) you’ll see the intensity of them represented on a saw-tooth pattern of intensity of solar activity… Re Solar intensity: some are UP, and some are DOWN, and they seem to run in progressive cycles.

My “assistant weather and garden planning person” (aka “The Boss”, Aka my wife) have been watching these cycles for some time, and noting the trends. So we have made our own projections and thus have been planning our garden efforts to adapt to a cooling temp trend.

So reading the above, I noticed the mention of Cosmic Rays… and wondered if they have much of an effect on Earth weather patterns. So… I’m looking for REAL SCIENCE articles, (mere mention of “Global Warming” aka AGW was a disqualifying factor in my considering what is “real science” and what is not) and I found this article on the “Watts Up With That” page.

Cosmic Rays and Climate – to be or not to be?
—— —— —— —— —— —— —— ——
” Dr Norman Page
November 6, 2013 at 1:56 pm

In discussing the cosmic ray – temperature connection in a recent guest post 10/29 on WUWT
and originally at http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com
I said
“Furthermore Fig 8 shows that the cosmic ray intensity time series derived from the 10Be data is the most useful proxy relating solar activity to temperature and climate. – see Fig 3 CD from Steinhilber
http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2012/03/30/1118965109.full.pdf
NOTE !! the connection between solar “activity” and climate is poorly understood and highly controversial. Solar ” activity” encompasses changes in solar magnetic field strength, IMF, CRF, TSI ,EUV,solar wind density and velocity, CMEs, proton events etc. The idea of using the neutron count as a useful proxy for changing solar activity and temperature forecasting is agnostic as to the physical mechanisms involved.”
I think the connection is very clear in the Steinhilber paper.
A quick look at Benestad suggests that he took no account of the possible lag 12 year lag between the Cosmic ray count and the temperatures, Thus the cosmic ray minimum at about 1991 (Solar Max}{[ equates quite nicely with the recent temperature trend peak at about 2003.
Kirkby’s analysis would fit in well with my approach and cooling forecast.
4/02/13 ( Global)
1 Significant temperature drop at about 2016-17
2 Possible unusual cold snap 2021-22
3 Built in cooling trend until at least 2024
4 Temperature Hadsst3 moving average anomaly 2035 – 0.15
5 Temperature Hadsst3 moving average anomaly 2100 – 0.5
6 General Conclusion – by 2100 all the 20th century temperature rise will have been reversed,
7 By 2650 earth could possibly be back to the depths of the little ice age.
8 The effect of increasing CO2 emissions will be minor but beneficial – they may slightly ameliorate the forecast cooling and help maintain crop yields .
9 Warning !! There are some signs in the Livingston and Penn Solar data that a sudden drop to the Maunder Minimum Little Ice Age temperatures could be imminent – with a much more rapid and economically disruptive cooling than that forecast above which may turn out to be a best case scenario.”

—— —— —— —— —— —— —— ——

It was merely interesting until I hit point 7, which got my attention. Then at point 8 Dr Page performed the now usual mandatory genuflection toward AGW High Priest Hansen, before going on to point 9 which was a well executed sneer at point 8. (As in “Now tell us what you REALLY think.”)

“The Boss” and I have been planning for point 9 for a few years now. We are working on designing “low tunnels” (as opposed to “high tunnels”) for growing veggies/greens… and looking for short stemmed grain varieties. If we can’t find any, we may have to develop our own.

(During the Little Ice Age, many starved because their long stemmed grain “lodged” which with the excessive rain pattern dumped the grain into the mud. BUT despite this, we learned that during this period, farmers in France had developed techniques to grow fresh greens during the winter and actually were able to sell greens to the people in Paris throughout the winters and cold periods!)

So… just thought I’d throw out a bit of info that may or may not be useful to others. From the recent meteorological history and our recent garden experience, as far as we’re concerned one thing is sure… the Global Warming meme is toast.

Sen Mitch Mcconnell gets to tell Republicans who they can vote for!

Or at least he thinks he gets to…

Mitch McConnell Warns YOU Not To Vote For Donald Trump – Or Else…

Mr. McConnell has apparently come up with a sure-fire way to drive Republicans to form a third party… just TELL them who HE will ALLOW them to vote for. Yep… that’ll do it.

I’m thinking that if Republicans have any sense, their first move after the above edict will be to remove the “Little Dictator” from his position as Senate Majority Leader and see if they can find a Republican with a brain to challenge him in his next run for Senate. Maybe he could join Hillary in a search for a cure for Alzheimers… he could be a test subject.

Donald “THE” Trump

Can THE Donald Trump win the Presidency? Can he even win the Republican nomination?

I have my doubts.

Why do I doubt?

1. In my opinion, Trump is a flash-in-the-pan kind of guy. It seems like he can do anything as long as it doesn’t take too long. Why do I say that? Because with a personality like Trump seems to have, people A. get tired of the BS and B. over time such a person runs out of new insults and has to begin recycling them. One can only be offensive to the same people for just so long before they quit or take a poke at your nose. ie people get tired of the same old offensive BS, so such a person needs a changing cast of victims to offend.

Offensive people are just that – offensive. To me, it appears that Trump has made a career, and a political campaign, out of being offensive. In politics that kind of stuff is “new” and “different” only for a short time. Then it gets old. When the insults get old, people get tired of listening to them. And too, you run into the “he said that, or something like that, last week.” ie There’s only just so many ways to be offensive until you run into not just bad taste, but REALLY bad taste and people start making faces when you open your mouth – before you say anything. They know what’s coming and they are tired of it. And Trump is running out of victims (currently the other candidates).

Another aspect of the Trump campaign is that I haven’t heard any real ideas for running the country. So of course the question comes up – what would he do if he were President? So far we haven’t a clue. I know – people have voted for such candidates before – look at the votes Barak Obama got and the voting public had no idea what he would do. (Quite a few of us did have a good idea, but no one wanted to listen to us.) Would anyone like to buy a second Pig In A Poke President? Vote for Trump and in my opinion that’s exactly what you’ll get… and voting for Trump you’ll deserve whatever you get.

So… What is my solution to Trump with his ever-running mouth? What are the Republicans to do?

My solution for the Republican Candidates is to do what your mother probably told you to do when you were being insulted by a bully… just ignore him. Run your own campaign, not the campaign he wants you to run, where he is the center of attention. Trump’s “campaign” is typical nasty little boy stuff… and it totally hinges on “LOOK AT ME!” It’s narcissism at its finest. Trump seems to think he is the center of the universe – and so far only Ben Carson, the surgeon who has dealt with a lot of little kids, has failed to buy in to it. Well… and me. I think the best thing the other candidates can do is what their mothers probably told them to do with such a person. Just ignore him and when he stops getting attention he’ll go somewhere else and do something else to get his “fix” of attention.

So hey… Presidential Candidates? STOP FEEDING THE BEAST and in time it will go away!

Of course, the media will still report everything he says and does because it gets them attention. But if/when they figure out no one is clicking on Trump on the internet, when Trump-as-clickbait stops being effective, the media will also abandon him. After all… they have a Presidential Campaign to cover, and if Trump is no longer really part of it… then maybe we can have a real campaign.

As for the “debates” – when the debate sponsors make a rule that interrupting another candidate or the moderator more than say three times gets you expelled, ie when/if he pulls interrupt and dominate tricks, the moderator can toss his buns out the door and let the debate proceed without the little boy in the hallway.

VP Candidate “Chicken Joe” Biden?

I see where “Chicken Joe” is thinking about running for President. Well… he certainly has qualifications to do so, but many voters may not like what he’s qualified to do.

So… I looked up Chicken Joe’s Official White House Bio and a Wiki Bio, and was quite surprised to see that, although he was elected to his freshman term in the Senate in the early ’70s – early enough in fact to be on hand to vote to cut off funding to South VietNam (in 1975, thus voting to cause the US to unilaterally abrogate the Paris Peace Accords, aka the treaty that got the US out of VN), he doesn’t mention his role in stabbing the people of South Vietnam in the back causing them to be overrun by the Communist North.

Since he was elected in time to vote against keeping our commitments to RVN, that means that he was certainly old enough to have enlisted in the military and to actually GO to VietNam… but like so many weak sisters from the Left he chose to go to law school. According to one bio, he received 5 draft deferments while a “student” and was then reclassified due to having had “asthma” as a “teenager”. So… he didn’t go, then when in a position to support our allies in S VN, he chose to turn his back on the people that over 58,000 Americans died to defend.

Yep… Chicken Joe is definitely qualified to be a Politician, but I for one don’t want him to be President of the US. It’s bad enough that the current (ineligible) “president” got elected. I’d really rather not see more of their ilk in the White House.

Rubio is/should be TOAST!!!

http://dailysignal.com/2015/07/08/marco-rubios-economic-plan-to-make-america-greater-than-weve-ever-been/

“Rubio spoke on how his policies would embrace globalization and technology so that the U.S. can compete globally in the 21st century.”…

“Globalization is real,” Rubio said. “We cannot be satisfied with a country that’s diminished in its prestige and its influence on the global stage.” …

“Rubio has authored a “pro-growth” and “pro-family” tax plan with Sen. Mike Lee, R-Utah, that would keep the top individual tax rate at 35 percent and eliminate the estate tax, among other things.”…

So… Rubio is a Globalist, pro-mega-rich elitist. Doesn’t seem like someone who is going to help the people much… unless those people he’s helping are the Mega-rich. I guess the rest of us can just sleep in a cardboard box in an alley and be grateful that our betters allow us to scavenge their garbage cans.

But I’m glad of one thing… he’s apparently too stupid to hide what he is until AFTER the election.

GLOBAL WARMING! GLOBAL WARMING! GLOBAL WARMING!!! AAAAAAHHHHHH!!!!!

Oh! Won’t someone PLEASE save me from this Global Warming!!!

07:00 this morning, July 4th, 2015, the temperature in NW Missouri was 58 degrees F.

If the climate gets any warmer, I’m going to have to start a fire in the wood stove!

I don’t know what the AGW people are smoking, but it MUST be some really really good stuff!!!

Morons.

Summer-time…. When Mosquitoes Are Hungry…

Like to go outside? Don’t like to be on the menu for mosquitoes? Check out this site.

http://www.mosquito.org/faq

This site tells you things like what is it about you that mosquitoes find attractive. (No – it’s not your blue eyes or your long eyelashes! ;-D)

It has detailed information on what repellants are effective (and what’s not), and other useful information… such as the information that bug zappers do more harm than good, killing predator species while NOT affecting mosquitoes. In fact, mosquitoes are more attracted to you than to the bug zappers! (I know… “But it’s fun to listen to the ZOT when a bug hits the grid!”) 😀

“Catnip has been noted for years as possessing repellency against mosquitoes.”

Go! Read! Learn! Have a nice summer and stay off the mosquito menu!

http://www.mosquito.org/faq